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Showing posts with label Frasers Property. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Frasers Property. Show all posts

Sunday, 2 June 2019

Non Income Portfofolio Building: One year On.


One year since looking for great companies, moving away from Reits and SG blue chips, things are not looking good thanks to the trade war. On the this journey, my preference for stock picking is evolving and adapting to what I have learnt, read and experienced. What I thought on day 1 might have changed due to the Marco environment or the change in preference.

As the trade war escalate, I decide to hold onto more cash and relook at my portfolio.



My concern with IGG is that with the trade war, if Apple lost it market share, the services that apps provide on IOS will lose its revenue. Services such as gaming will be affected more as the game saves may not be able to port to android. Even within android, the game saves has to be in the cloud. Losing the game saves, the gamer will lost the motivation to carry on the game, hence losing revenue. China market segment of IGG is about 28%, Apple Iphone Market share is about 15%. Another concern is 90% of revenue come from just one game. New games have been released. Let's see how the new games fare.

There is growth for live streaming and YY Inc is undervalued. Market share eroded as well as margin due to intense competition. Just like Grab/Uber. Broadcaster will move to whatever platform that  benefit them. YY Inc still has the largest market share and profitable growing net income. 75% owned by founder, he has much skin in the game.



Companies that I had look into and divested.




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Saturday, 6 April 2019

Frasers Property - Increasing Debts and Perpetual


As the recent Hyflux downfall also focus on it's perpetuals bonds, I am looking into YY Inc's preferred shares. And then just yesterday, Frasers Properties announced a issue of perpetuals securities. After some chit chat at the post in Investingnote. Basically, perpetuals securities pose as equity but are actually debts. You can about it from this article from The Edge Singapore. To find the actual gearing for Frasers Properties, I have to make some adjustments. I have include the latest $400million perpetuals securities for 2019 Q1. As you can see the supposed recorded Debt/Equity was 105.7%.






Although high debt deemed to be bad, as long as interest rate does not increase rapidly and the cash flow can support the interest expenses incurred, is of a lesser concern. Property Developer's profits can be lumpy at times, so I take the average 4yrs operating cash flow (OCF) of Frasers Property and that give a OCF/Interest of 2.71x. Interest coverage is also more than 3x.


Frasers Property Shareholders will have to monitor the numbers and if they continues to be more aggressive with the debt level.





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